The School of Odds
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Chennai Super Kings v Punjab Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chennai Super Kings (Local)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%41.14%41.10%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.292.302.4950.00%43.60%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Punjab Kings (Visit)

Prediction 58.90%1.70fair odd
EV +6.01%
Edge +3.34%
Kelly +7.52%
Growth +0.452%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%58.86%58.90%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.601.8064.52%62.09%62.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chennai Super Kings (Local): 41.10%; Punjab Kings (Visit): 58.90%. For Punjab Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -17.79%E -8.90%K -17.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +6.01%E +3.34%K +7.52%G +0.452%5.6%2026-04-02 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.57%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.64%E -0.984%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:35
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.57%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.82%E -1.71%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.83%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -11.21%E -5.19%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.939%E -0.390%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.60%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +2.35%E +0.944%K +1.58%G +0.037%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +2.35%E +0.944%K +1.58%G +0.037%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.46%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.94%E -4.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.94%E -4.40%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.57%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.71%E -5.62%K -15.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-03 13:55