The School of Odds
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Chennai Super Kings v Lucknow Super Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chennai Super Kings (Local)

Prediction 58.06%1.72fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.917%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%57.72%57.99%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.611.7564.52%61.55%62.11%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lucknow Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV +0.656%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.469%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%42.28%42.01%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.262.4047.62%44.20%44.15%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chennai Super Kings (Local): 58.06%; Lucknow Super Giants (Visit): 41.94%. For Chennai Super Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV +1.61%E +0.917%K +2.14%G +0.034%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -10.67%E -5.01%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 07:00
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.02%E +0.589%K +1.38%G +0.014%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 05:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.02%E +0.589%K +1.38%G +0.014%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 05:44
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.444%E +0.257%K +0.608%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:44
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:44
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.20%E -2.55%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -5.36%E -3.29%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -10.25%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 09:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.656%E +0.273%K +0.469%G +0.003%3.4%2026-05-10 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +0.656%E +0.273%K +0.469%G +0.003%3.4%2026-05-10 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 09:44
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.94%E -3.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 09:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.44%E -0.613%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 09:54
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.183%E -0.077%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 09:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 09:39
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.85%E -5.63%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.64%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 09:39
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.01%E -6.46%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.54%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 09:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-10 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-10 09:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-10 09:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-10 09:55