The School of Odds
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Chennai Super Kings v Delhi Capitals

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chennai Super Kings (Local)

Prediction 45.51%2.20fair odd
EV +0.119%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.099%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.50%45.36%47.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.2051.28%48.37%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delhi Capitals (Visit)

Prediction 54.49%1.84fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.13%54.50%54.64%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.39%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chennai Super Kings (Local): 45.51%; Delhi Capitals (Visit): 54.49%. For Chennai Super Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.197. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.119%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.119%E +0.054%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.791%E -0.363%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -1.25%E -0.574%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -1.25%E -0.574%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:25
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:24
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.07%E -4.00%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:54
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.80%E -5.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.80%E -5.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -1.92%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.26%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-11 13:55