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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Zimbabwe v Bangladesh

开赛时间： 2026-07-17 10:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zimbabwe (主队)

预测 48.81%2.05公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.697%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.74%48.68%49.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.941.942.0252.63%51.51%51.55%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bangladesh (客队)

预测 51.19%1.95公平赔率
EV -3.76%
优势 -2.00%
Kelly -4.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
50.40%51.26%51.32%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.831.831.8856.82%54.64%54.64%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Zimbabwe (主队)：48.81%；Bangladesh (客队)：51.19%。 对于“Zimbabwe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.02，期望值为-1.41%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.41%E -0.697%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 10:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.85%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 10:10
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.85%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 10:10
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.36%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -7.34%E -4.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:25
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.34%E -4.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.34%E -4.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.85%E -1.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.34%E -4.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 10:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.27%E -2.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 10:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.29%E -2.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.45%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:10
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.32%E -3.45%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 10:10
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.85%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.85%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -8.37%E -4.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -8.37%E -4.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.29%E -2.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:10
Neds🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.29%E -2.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.76%E -2.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.76%E -2.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.76%E -2.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.27%E -2.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 10:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.45%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 10:25
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.45%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 10:24
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.85%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 10:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -9.90%E -5.63%K -13.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:20
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.27%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.27%E -2.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 10:25
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.78%E -2.57%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 10:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-07-17 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-17 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-17 10:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-17 10:25