The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Zimbabwe v Bangladesh

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zimbabwe (Local)

Prediction 41.58%2.41fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.50%41.86%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.282.3545.45%44.09%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bangladesh (Visit)

Prediction 58.42%1.71fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.50%58.14%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.621.621.6762.89%61.77%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zimbabwe (Local): 41.58%; Bangladesh (Visit): 58.42%. For Zimbabwe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.29%E -0.975%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.52%E -4.08%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 10:25
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.54%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.52%E -4.08%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:25
SportsBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -3.54%E -1.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.11%E -4.47%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 10:24
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.77%E -2.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 10:24
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.37%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 10:24
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.79%E -2.09%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.02%E -1.82%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-15 10:25
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.77%E -2.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 10:24
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-15 10:24
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:04
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:24
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:19
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:24
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:03
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 10:15
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 10:24
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 10:24
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.45%E -2.87%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-15 10:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.43%E -1.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 08:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.52%E -4.08%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 10:25
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.52%E -4.08%K -10.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 10:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-07-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-07-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-07-15 10:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-15 10:25