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Zimbabwe v Bangladesh
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zimbabwe (Local)
Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%42.80%42.31%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.49%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bangladesh (Visit)
Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -0.660%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.904%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.20%57.69%58.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.661.7362.50%60.33%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zimbabwe (Local): 42.58%; Bangladesh (Visit): 57.42%. For Bangladesh (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -0.660%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.92%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.93%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -2.92%E -1.28%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -3.35%E -1.47%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.55%E -4.69%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 10:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 10:03 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-19 08:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.55%E -4.69%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 10:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.13%E -5.08%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 10:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.18%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-19 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.38%E -1.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 09:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.46%E -3.93%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.88%E -4.15%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.59%E -5.04%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.660%E -0.382%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 19:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 10:25 |