Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.73
assuming max odds 2.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 56.71%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 43.29%. For Sri Lanka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.27, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.90%E -1.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.60%E -2.12%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.73%E -0.761%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-14 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 23:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.73%E -2.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 00:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.30%E -3.17%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.86%E -3.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.43%E -3.90%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.13%E -5.02%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-06-15 00:20 |