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West Indies v Sri Lanka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Indies (Local)
Prediction 58.76%1.70fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.85%58.79%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.571.6565.36%62.93%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sri Lanka (Visit)
Prediction 41.24%2.42fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%41.15%41.21%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.352.5044.44%42.84%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 58.76%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 41.24%. For Sri Lanka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -10.10%E -6.60%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +3.11%E +1.24%K +2.07%G +0.064% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.194%E -0.080%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.02%E -0.425%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.84%E -0.775%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -8.34%E -5.34%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -1.84%E -0.775%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -1.84%E -0.775%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 00:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.14%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.14%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.99%E -3.74%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.14%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.79%E -3.01%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.79%E -3.01%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.75%E -4.94%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.93%E -5.76%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 00:20 |