Language:English
Turkey v Israel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Turkey (Local)
Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.13%44.13%44.13%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1448.78%47.66%47.62%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Israel (Visit)
Prediction 55.87%1.79fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.87%55.87%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.721.7559.17%58.08%58.14%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.57%E -2.60%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.57%E -3.30%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 09:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 09:44 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.34%E -3.49%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 09:44 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.54%E -4.66%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 09:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 51.67% | 21.7% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 51.67% | 21.7% | 2026-07-28 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.33% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 51.67% | 21.7% | 2026-07-28 09:55 |