The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Thailand v Singapore

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thailand (Local)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.82%41.15%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.292.3845.45%43.59%43.67%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Singapore (Visit)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%59.18%58.85%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.66%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thailand (Local): 40.95%; Singapore (Visit): 59.05%. For Singapore (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.66, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.55%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.65%E -6.31%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-23 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 10:00
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 10:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.45%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 10:00
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -1.97%E -1.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 10:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.64%E -2.91%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-23 09:20
Betway🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -7.46%E -3.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -6.70%E -4.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 10:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.33%E -2.68%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 06:29
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.92%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.92%E -3.06%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-23 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%3.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.5%2026-06-23 10:20