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Thailand v Japan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thailand (Local)
assuming max odds 5.00
Japan (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thailand (Local): 22.36%; Japan (Visit): 77.64%. For Thailand (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +11.80%E +2.36%K +2.95%G +0.348% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.49%E -10.08%K -82.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV +4.20%E +0.901%K +1.15%G +0.048% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -8.39%E -7.11%K -46.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 21:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.61%E -0.367%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.73%E -0.628%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.28%EV -5.64%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -6.06%E -5.01%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 01:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.20%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 01:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 01:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.28%E -4.33%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 01:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.40%E -1.10%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -22.86%E -6.63%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV +0.155%E +0.120%K +0.535%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 01:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 01:50 |