The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Singapore v Thailand

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Singapore (Local)

Prediction 79.76%1.25fair odd
EV +3.68%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +12.28%
Growth +0.452%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.25%79.76%82.56%83.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.161.3088.50%85.20%86.21%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Thailand (Visit)

Prediction 20.24%4.94fair odd
EV +15.39%
Edge +2.70%
Kelly +3.27%
Growth +0.504%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.54%20.24%17.44%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.564.935.005.7028.09%20.28%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Singapore (Local): 79.76%; Thailand (Visit): 20.24%. For Thailand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +15.39%E +2.70%K +3.27%G +0.504%6.0%2026-06-26 10:08
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.08%E -7.96%K -64.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +11.34%E +2.06%K +2.52%G +0.286%5.9%2026-06-26 10:19
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -9.88%E -8.74%K -75.97%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV +8.31%E +1.55%K +1.91%G +0.159%7.2%2026-06-26 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.69%E -5.71%K -39.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%5.5%2026-06-26 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-26 10:20
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%6.2%2026-06-26 10:20
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 10:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV +3.68%E +2.83%K +12.28%G +0.452%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -27.93%E -7.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-06-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%3.9%2026-06-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-06-26 10:20