Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Singapore v Indonesia

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Singapore (Local)

Prediction 70.33%1.42fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -7.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%70.40%70.64%73.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.351.361.3878.74%74.18%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indonesia (Visit)

Prediction 29.67%3.37fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.680%
Kelly +0.958%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%29.60%29.36%32.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.063.4534.72%32.09%32.63%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Singapore (Local): 70.33%; Indonesia (Visit): 29.67%. For Indonesia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -10.68%E -8.41%K -39.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +2.35%E +0.680%K +0.958%G +0.022%7.7%2026-06-25 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.46%E -4.85%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 09:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.46%E -4.85%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.59%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 03:19
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.46%E -4.85%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.07%E -1.58%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 09:39
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -2.94%E -2.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -7.15%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.94%E -2.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 09:39
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.94%E -2.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.35%E -3.20%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 09:40
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.35%E -3.20%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.35%E -3.20%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -14.56%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 07:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-06-25 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%5.7%2026-06-25 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%6.9%2026-06-25 10:20