The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Sierra Leone v Uganda

2026-09-15 07:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sierra Leone (Local)

Prediction 3.16%31.69fair odd
EV +7.28%
Edge +0.214%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.86%3.16%3.16%3.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
31.0033.0034.0034.003.23%3.03%2.94%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Uganda (Visit)

Prediction 96.84%1.03fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -218.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
96.84%96.84%96.84%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.67%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sierra Leone (Local): 3.16%; Uganda (Visit): 96.84%. For Sierra Leone (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 31.69. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 34.00, producing a positive expected value of +7.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +7.28%E +0.214%K +0.221%G +0.016%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -3.16%E -3.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 11:25
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +7.28%E +0.214%K +0.221%G +0.016%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -3.16%E -3.16%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 11:25
FanDuel🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV -2.19%E -0.071%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -2.19%E -2.17%K -218.68%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%10.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%10.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%10.2%2026-09-13 11:25