Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rwanda v Sierra Leone

Kickoff: 2026-09-10 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Rwanda (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -90.91%
Kelly -1000.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%0.00%0.00%86.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.101.101.1091.74%91.12%90.91%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sierra Leone (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -14.29%
Kelly -16.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%0.00%0.00%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.506.756.757.0015.38%14.81%14.81%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rwanda (Local): 0.00%; Sierra Leone (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%5.2%2026-09-09 16:24
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%6.3%2026-09-09 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%6.3%2026-09-09 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%6.0%2026-09-09 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 75.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%17.9%2026-09-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 75.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%17.9%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 75.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%17.9%2026-09-09 17:15