Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rwanda v Botswana

2026-09-13 11:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rwanda (Local)

Prediction 82.83%1.21fair odd

EV -3.09%

Edge -2.64%

Kelly -18.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.04%82.83%82.83%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.151.161.1787.72%86.66%86.21%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botswana (Visit)

Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd

EV -5.57%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -1.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.17%17.17%17.17%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.205.005.5020.00%19.23%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rwanda (Local): 82.83%; Botswana (Visit): 17.17%. For Rwanda (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.17, with an expected value of -3.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Paddy Power🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.09%E -2.64%K -18.16%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.16%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-12 14:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.47%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.16%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 14:50
Neds🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.92%E -3.38%K -24.47%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -14.16%E -2.83%K -3.54%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 14:50
SportsBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 14:47
FanDuel🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.57%E -4.89%K -39.80%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.57%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-12 14:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%	4.6%	2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%	4.6%	2026-09-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%	4.6%	2026-09-12 18:25