The School of Odds

Romania v Australia

2026-07-26 07:00 UTC — International Twenty20

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Romania (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%48.40%48.40%48.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.931.981.952.1052%51%51%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Australia (Visit)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.06%51.60%51.60%55.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.8559%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +1.65%E +0.785%K +1.50%G +0.025%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -12.29%E -7.23%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 17:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.19%E -1.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 17:00
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.06%E -2.75%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 16:59
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.10%E -3.14%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.10%E -3.35%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 17:00
Neds1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.55%E -2.46%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-07-25 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-07-25 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%11.1%2026-07-25 19:15