Language:English
Nigeria v Hong Kong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nigeria (Local)
assuming max odds 6.50
Hong Kong (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nigeria (Local): 16.24%; Hong Kong (Visit): 83.76%. For Nigeria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.59%E +0.860%K +1.02%G +0.057% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV +3.15%E +0.496%K +0.589%G +0.019% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.01%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +1.53%E +0.244%K +0.291%G +0.004% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.03%E -6.33%K -63.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.53%E -0.422%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.15%EV -3.83%E -0.648%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.85%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.59%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 11:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72% | 1.8% | 2026-06-18 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 11:50 |