New Zealand v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-17 06:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

New Zealand (主队)

预测 59.26%1.69公平赔率

EV -3.40%

优势 -2.09%

Kelly -5.40%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布

57.59%59.41%59.31%61.71%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.521.601.601.6365.79%62.64%62.50%61.35%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Africa (客队)

预测 40.74%2.45公平赔率

EV +1.44%

优势 +0.577%

Kelly +0.964%

增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布

38.29%40.59%40.69%42.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.202.332.332.4945.45%42.99%42.92%40.16%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.78%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.44%E +0.577%K +0.964%G +0.014%	3.1%	2026-03-16 22:10
Betr (AU)	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -9.92%E -6.53%K -19.08%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -0.194%E -0.079%K -0.134%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-17 06:05
GTbets	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.86%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-16 23:05
PlayUp	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-17 06:04
PointsBet (AU)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-17 06:04
DraftKings	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.78%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-16 11:34
TAB	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.36%E -4.03%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-17 06:05
Pinnacle	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.40%E -2.09%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.67%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-17 06:10
Bet Right	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.67%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 06:00
Unibet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:54
Grosvenor	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
Casumo	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
Virgin Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
LeoVegas	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-16 12:09
TABtouch	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:54
ATG (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-15 10:55
SportsBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.36%E -4.03%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -5.08%E -2.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 06:09
FanDuel	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.18%E -3.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.49%E -2.37%K -4.16%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-17 06:00
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.47%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-17 05:49
Bet Victor	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-17 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.99%E -2.47%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 06:10
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.99%E -2.47%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 06:10
Paddy Power	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.99%E -2.47%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-17 05:49
Betway	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.96%E -4.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-17 05:59
William Hill	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.99%E -2.47%K -6.44%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-17 05:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%	2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%	0.2%	2026-03-17 06:10
Matchbook	1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%	0.2%	2026-03-17 06:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%	2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%	0.6%	2026-03-17 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%	2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%	0.6%	2026-03-17 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.23%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.2%	2026-03-17 06:04
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.23%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.2%	2026-03-17 06:05
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.23%	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.2%	2026-03-17 06:05