New Zealand v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-22 06:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

New Zealand (主队)

预测 54.14%1.85公平赔率

EV -2.55%

优势 -1.42%

Kelly -3.18%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布

52.52%54.75%53.72%58.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.621.741.731.8061.73%57.61%57.80%55.56%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Africa (客队)

预测 45.86%2.18公平赔率

EV +5.48%

优势 +2.38%

Kelly +4.21%

增长率 +0.231%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.33%45.25%46.28%47.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.952.072.082.3051.28%48.29%48.08%43.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +5.48%E +2.38%K +4.21%G +0.231%	4.1%	2026-03-21 21:24
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -12.29%E -7.59%K -19.83%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +5.48%E +2.38%K +4.21%G +0.231%	5.2%	2026-03-22 01:54
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.18%E +1.42%K +2.55%G +0.081%	5.1%	2026-03-22 05:49
GTbets	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -10.67%E -6.47%K -16.41%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +1.81%E +0.814%K +1.48%G +0.027%	5.7%	2026-03-22 05:49
Unibet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 06:00
LiveScore Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
LeoVegas (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
Unibet (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:55
TABtouch	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
Casumo	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
Virgin Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:55
LeoVegas	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
Grosvenor	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
ATG (SE)	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 05:54
BetOnline.ag	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-22 05:59
PlayUp	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.61%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-22 06:04
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.68%K -6.20%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 05:59
TAB	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-22 06:04
Bet Right	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.63%E -2.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-22 06:09
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 06:09
Neds	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 06:09
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 06:09
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.55%E -1.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-22 06:09
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.34%E -3.66%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-22 05:59
FanDuel	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -3.09%E -1.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -9.20%E -4.65%K -9.39%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-22 06:09
Bet Victor	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-22 06:10
Betway	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.25%E -3.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-22 06:09
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-03-22 06:00
Betsson	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.04%E -5.38%K -13.30%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-03-22 06:04

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%	0.1%	2026-03-22 06:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%	0.1%	2026-03-22 06:10
Matchbook	1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%	2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%	0.4%	2026-03-22 06:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%	0.5%	2026-03-22 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.70I 58.82%NM 52.27%	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.17%	12.5%	2026-03-22 06:00