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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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New Zealand v South Africa

開賽時間： 2026-03-20 06:15 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

New Zealand (主隊)

預測 66.08%1.51公平賠率
EV -0.223%
優勢 -0.148%
Kelly -0.437%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.51

博彩公司預測分布
63.70%65.90%66.12%67.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.401.441.441.5171.43%69.53%69.20%66.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值

South Africa (客隊)

預測 33.92%2.95公平賠率
EV -1.63%
優勢 -0.560%
Kelly -0.855%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.90

博彩公司預測分布
32.56%34.10%33.88%36.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.23%36.36%34.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：New Zealand (主隊)：66.08%；South Africa (客隊)：33.92%。 對於「New Zealand (主隊)」，該估計相當於1.513的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為1.510，期望值為-0.223%，未產生正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -0.223%E -0.148%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.87%E -1.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.00%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 06:05
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 06:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 06:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 06:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 06:00
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:05
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 06:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 05:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 06:10
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 06:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 06:10
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 06:09
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 06:10
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.63%E -0.560%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 06:10
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 06:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 06:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 05:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 06:09
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-20 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-20 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-20 06:10
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-20 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (3)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%12.0%2026-03-20 06:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%12.0%2026-03-20 06:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%12.0%2026-03-20 06:00