New Zealand v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-20 06:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

New Zealand (主队)

预测 66.08%1.51公平赔率

EV -0.223%

优势 -0.148%

Kelly -0.437%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.51

博彩公司预测分布

63.70%65.90%66.12%67.44%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.401.441.441.5171.43%69.53%69.20%66.23%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Africa (客队)

预测 33.92%2.95公平赔率

EV -1.63%

优势 -0.560%

Kelly -0.855%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布

32.56%34.10%33.88%36.30%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.652.762.752.9037.74%36.23%36.36%34.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -0.223%E -0.148%K -0.437%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -10.11%E -3.81%K -6.12%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-20 06:10
BetOnline.ag	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.87%E -1.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.00%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-20 06:05
Unibet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-20 06:04
Virgin Bet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-20 06:05
LiveScore Bet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.53%E -2.42%K -7.67%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-20 06:05
PlayUp	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-20 06:00
LeoVegas	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
Grosvenor	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
Unibet (SE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
TABtouch	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
Casumo	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
ATG (SE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:05
TAB	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.31%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.41%E -3.11%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 06:00
PointsBet (AU)	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-20 06:09
BoyleSports	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 05:54
William Hill	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-20 06:10
Bet Right	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-20 06:10
DraftKings	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-20 06:10
Betr (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-20 06:10
GTbets	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-20 06:09
Neds	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-20 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-20 06:10
SportsBet	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.63%E -0.560%K -0.855%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-20 06:10
FanDuel	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-20 06:09
Paddy Power	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.30%E -0.800%K -1.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-20 06:10
Bet Victor	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-20 05:59
Betway	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-20 06:09

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%	0.4%	2026-03-20 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%	0.8%	2026-03-20 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%	0.8%	2026-03-20 06:10
Matchbook	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%	0.9%	2026-03-20 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%	12.0%	2026-03-20 06:00
Mr Green (SE)	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%	12.0%	2026-03-20 06:00
888sport (SE)	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18%	12.0%	2026-03-20 06:00