New Zealand v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-25 06:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

New Zealand (主队)

预测 56.49%1.77公平赔率

EV -0.013%

优势 -0.008%

Kelly -0.017%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

53.05%56.22%56.76%58.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.601.681.701.7762.50%59.46%58.82%56.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Africa (客队)

预测 43.51%2.30公平赔率

EV +0.074%

优势 +0.032%

Kelly +0.057%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.33%43.78%43.24%46.95%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.002.152.152.3050.00%46.54%46.51%43.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.49%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.074%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-25 06:05
PlayUp	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.10%E -0.934%K -1.68%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-25 06:09
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 05:54
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:10
Neds	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:09
FanDuel	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.23%E -3.75%K -9.44%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-25 06:10
SportsBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-25 06:10
TAB	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-25 06:09
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.71%E -0.982%K -2.31%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-25 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
ATG (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
Unibet (SE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
Casumo	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
TABtouch	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
Unibet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:04
Virgin Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:04
LiveScore Bet	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
LeoVegas	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:04
Grosvenor	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 06:05
Betr (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-25 06:10
Betway	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-25 06:09
Bet Victor	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-25 05:59
Pinnacle	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.578%E -0.329%K -0.761%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -7.76%E -3.66%K -6.93%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-24 07:15
Everygame	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-25 05:54
William Hill	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-25 05:49
NordicBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.03%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-03-25 06:10
Betsson	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.62%E -6.01%K -16.03%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-03-25 06:09
Bet Right	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -11.24%E -5.51%K -10.81%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-25 06:09
DraftKings	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.013%E -0.008%K -0.017%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-24 21:14
GTbets	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -0.578%E -0.329%K -0.761%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -12.98%E -6.49%K -12.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-25 06:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%	0.2%	2026-03-25 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%	0.3%	2026-03-25 06:10
Matchbook	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%	0.3%	2026-03-25 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-03-25 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.5%	2026-03-25 06:10
888sport (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.5%	2026-03-25 06:10
Mr Green (SE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%	11.5%	2026-03-25 06:10