The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New Zealand v India

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Zealand (Local)

Prediction 42.67%2.34fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.16%42.68%42.82%46.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2548.78%45.63%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 57.33%1.74fair odd
EV +0.896%
Edge +0.509%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.81%57.32%57.18%57.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.671.7662.11%59.99%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand (Local): 42.67%; India (Visit): 57.33%. For India (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.896%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -12.52%E -6.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV +0.896%E +0.509%K +1.18%G +0.011%5.6%2026-10-23 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -1.97%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 06:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 06:50
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.83%E -3.62%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.69%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 06:55
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 06:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 06:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 06:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 06:50
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 06:55
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 06:55
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.84%E -2.91%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 06:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 06:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 06:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 06:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 06:55
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.12%E -2.78%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 06:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.99%E -1.77%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 06:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 06:50
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 06:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-10-24 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-10-24 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-10-24 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-10-24 06:55