The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New Zealand v India

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 07:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Zealand (Local)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.59%40.00%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.302.4547.62%43.29%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 59.91%1.67fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +4.99%
Growth +0.182%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%59.41%60.00%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.7365.36%62.38%62.50%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Zealand (Local): 40.09%; India (Visit): 59.91%. For India (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -15.81%E -7.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.64%E +2.10%K +4.99%G +0.182%5.4%2026-10-27 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.81%E -7.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.44%E +1.43%K +3.44%G +0.084%6.1%2026-10-27 06:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.35%E -1.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.95%E -1.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 06:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.78%E -0.725%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.55%E -2.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-27 06:55
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.98%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 06:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.78%E -1.57%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 06:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 06:55
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 06:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.15%E -2.59%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 06:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 06:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.58%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.94%E -3.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 06:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.94%E -3.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 06:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.94%E -3.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 06:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.94%E -3.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.94%E -3.79%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 06:55
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.58%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.54%E -4.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 06:49
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.34%E -5.45%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 06:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.34%E -5.45%K -15.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 06:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-10-27 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-10-27 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%0.3%2026-10-27 06:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-10-27 06:55