The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Zimbabwe

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.501%
Kelly +0.834%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%40.25%40.51%43.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.5046.51%43.17%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 59.50%1.68fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.73%59.75%59.49%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.68%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 40.50%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 59.50%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.25%E +0.501%K +0.834%G +0.010%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.97%E -5.86%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 11:50
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +1.25%E +0.501%K +0.834%G +0.010%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV +0.847%E +0.340%K +0.568%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.42%E -1.87%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 11:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:34
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 11:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 11:43
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 11:43
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.28%E -4.14%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.42%E -1.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-08-31 11:50