The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Scotland

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV +14.01%
Edge +4.25%
Kelly +6.09%
Growth +0.853%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%33.82%34.78%35.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.703.3038.46%36.48%37.04%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scotland (Visit)

Prediction 65.45%1.53fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.46%66.18%65.22%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.431.441.5075.76%69.95%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 34.55%; Scotland (Visit): 65.45%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +14.01%E +4.25%K +6.09%G +0.853%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -13.60%E -10.31%K -42.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 11:30
GTbets🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV +13.32%E +4.06%K +5.84%G +0.778%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.30%EV -13.60%E -10.31%K -42.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 11:45
Pinnacle🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV +2.61%E +0.879%K +1.32%G +0.035%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 11:55
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.191%E +0.066%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.54%E -0.539%K -0.830%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -2.57%E -0.912%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.40%E -4.48%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.34%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.82%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:55
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:55
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 11:50
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 11:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.14%E -3.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 11:50
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.48%E -3.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 11:54
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.06%E -4.97%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 11:50
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.06%E -4.97%K -16.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-04-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-04-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-04-15 11:55