The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Malaysia v Indonesia

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malaysia (Local)

Prediction 86.82%1.15fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -23.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.18%86.91%86.87%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.091.091.1296.15%92.11%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indonesia (Visit)

Prediction 13.18%7.59fair odd
EV +39.72%
Edge +3.75%
Kelly +4.14%
Growth +1.64%

assuming max odds 10.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%13.09%13.13%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.807.346.7510.6017.24%13.63%14.81%9.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malaysia (Local): 86.82%; Indonesia (Visit): 13.18%. For Indonesia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.59. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -7.97%E -7.52%K -132.87%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +39.72%E +3.75%K +4.14%G +1.64%3.8%2026-05-04 01:55
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -9.71%E -9.34%K -242.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +31.81%E +3.18%K +3.53%G +1.12%6.2%2026-05-04 01:55
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -8.84%E -8.42%K -176.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +18.63%E +2.07%K +2.33%G +0.434%6.3%2026-05-04 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.37%E -4.92%K -59.64%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +6.64%E +0.820%K +0.936%G +0.062%4.1%2026-05-03 23:31
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.10%E -6.64%K -101.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +5.45%E +0.681%K +0.779%G +0.042%6.0%2026-05-03 19:20
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.84%E -8.42%K -176.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +5.45%E +0.681%K +0.779%G +0.042%7.7%2026-05-04 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.10%EV -5.37%E -4.92%K -59.64%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV -2.99%E -0.406%K -0.469%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 23:40
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.24%E -5.77%K -77.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.73%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 15:34
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.76%E -2.47%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -14.32%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.63%E -3.27%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -14.32%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 01:55
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.50%E -4.09%K -44.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.32%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 01:55
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.76%E -2.47%K -23.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.62%E -2.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.63%E -3.27%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.91%E -3.49%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 01:55
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.50%E -4.09%K -44.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.91%E -3.49%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 01:54
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -5.37%E -4.92%K -59.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -23.55%E -4.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 01:55
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -5.37%E -4.92%K -59.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -23.55%E -4.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-04 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-04 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-05-04 01:55
Matchbook◎1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%4.0%2026-05-04 01:55