The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Malaysia v Indonesia

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malaysia (Local)

Prediction 88.67%1.13fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -24.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.64%88.86%89.81%93.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.061.061.1099.01%94.55%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indonesia (Visit)

Prediction 11.33%8.82fair odd
EV +70.00%
Edge +4.67%
Kelly +5.00%
Growth +3.50%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.31%11.14%10.19%14.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.509.559.2515.0015.38%10.47%10.81%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malaysia (Local): 88.67%; Indonesia (Visit): 11.33%. For Indonesia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.82. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +70.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -10.45%E -10.34%K -1044.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +70.00%E +4.67%K +5.00%G +3.50%5.7%2026-05-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -10.45%E -10.34%K -1044.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +70.00%E +4.67%K +5.00%G +3.50%5.7%2026-05-05 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.96%EV -8.67%E -8.42%K -289.11%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.04%EV +54.13%E +3.98%K +4.30%G +2.33%4.4%2026-05-05 01:53
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -9.56%E -9.37%K -478.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +47.33%E +3.64%K +3.94%G +1.87%5.7%2026-05-05 01:55
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.79%E -7.49%K -194.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +24.67%E +2.24%K +2.47%G +0.608%5.2%2026-05-04 18:18
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -8.67%E -8.42%K -289.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +24.67%E +2.24%K +2.47%G +0.608%6.2%2026-05-05 01:55
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -6.01%E -5.67%K -100.22%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV +21.83%E +2.03%K +2.24%G +0.489%3.6%2026-05-04 23:05
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -8.67%E -8.42%K -289.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +7.67%E +0.807%K +0.902%G +0.069%7.6%2026-05-05 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -6.90%E -6.57%K -138.00%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +4.83%E +0.522%K +0.586%G +0.028%6.0%2026-05-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.47%E -2.24%K -24.67%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -17.83%E -2.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 01:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.47%E -2.24%K -24.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 01:50
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.47%E -2.24%K -24.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 01:49
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.35%E -3.08%K -37.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -3.35%E -3.08%K -37.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 01:49
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.24%E -3.93%K -53.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 01:53
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.13%E -4.79%K -73.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 01:49
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.13%E -4.79%K -73.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-05-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-05-05 01:55
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%4.8%2026-05-05 01:40