Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kenya v Bahrain

2026-08-01 10:00 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kenya (Local)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd

EV -4.98%

Edge -2.15%

Kelly -3.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.66%40.96%40.96%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.272.252.3244.44%44.05%44.44%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bahrain (Visit)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd

EV -4.35%

Edge -2.69%

Kelly -7.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.14%59.04%59.04%59.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.601.601.6263.69%62.56%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kenya (Local): 40.96%; Bahrain (Visit): 59.04%. For Bahrain (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -4.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.53%E -3.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-31 16:19
SportsBet	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.77%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-31 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-31 16:19
Paddy Power	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-31 16:19
Neds	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.35%E -2.69%K -7.02%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-31 16:29
Bet Victor	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-31 16:14
betano_uk	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-31 16:18

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%	1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%	16.7%	2026-07-31 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%	1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%	16.7%	2026-07-31 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.24I 80.65%NM 54.74%	1.50I 66.67%NM 45.26%	47.3%	2026-07-31 19:00