Language:English
Japan v Bahrain
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Japan (Local)
assuming max odds 1.80
Bahrain (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Japan (Local): 54.83%; Bahrain (Visit): 45.17%. For Bahrain (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.62%E -6.52%K -16.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.62%E +0.722%K +1.30%G +0.021% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -7.88%E -4.69%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV +1.17%E +0.523%K +0.945%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -11.17%E -6.89%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +1.17%E +0.523%K +0.945%G +0.011% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 03:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.43%E -5.05%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.52%E -5.77%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.52%E -5.77%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.635%E -0.288%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.88%E -4.69%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.44%E -1.13%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 06:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.65%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.15%E -2.45%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 03:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 03:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.41%E -3.61%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.69%E -3.31%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.30%E -0.722%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.73%E -7.19%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |