Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland v India

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland (Local)

Prediction 11.55%8.66fair odd
EV +7.41%
Edge +0.797%
Kelly +0.892%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.23%11.48%11.80%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.458.509.3013.33%11.83%11.76%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 88.45%1.13fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -4.14%
Kelly -55.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%88.52%88.20%89.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.061.0895.24%93.87%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ireland (Local): 11.55%; India (Visit): 88.45%. For Ireland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.66. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +7.41%E +0.797%K +0.892%G +0.066%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Pinnacle🎯9.04I 11.06%NM 10.58%EV +4.40%E +0.487%K +0.548%G +0.024%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.42%EV -5.36%E -5.01%K -76.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 12:20
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 09:49
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.13%E -6.79%K -142.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.83%E -0.215%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Neds🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.83%E -0.215%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:19
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.83%E -0.215%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:20
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.83%E -0.215%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:19
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.83%E -0.215%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:10
GTbets🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -4.72%E -0.572%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.36%E -5.01%K -76.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 12:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 11:59
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 11:59
PlayUp🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.36%E -5.01%K -76.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 12:08
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.36%E -5.01%K -76.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 08:29
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 12:20
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 12:09
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.47%E -4.14%K -55.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 12:17
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 12:19
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.24%E -5.89%K -104.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-06-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-06-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-06-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-06-28 12:19