Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

India v West Indies

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

India (Local)

Prediction 78.86%1.27fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.42%78.68%78.67%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2584.75%83.38%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Indies (Visit)

Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%21.32%21.33%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.484.504.8024.69%22.31%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 78.86%; West Indies (Visit): 21.14%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.46%E +0.304%K +0.383%G +0.006%5.6%2026-10-04 09:55
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +0.400%E +0.084%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.15%E -5.17%K -32.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.657%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 10:00
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.15%E -5.17%K -32.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.657%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -0.657%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -0.657%E -0.140%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 09:59
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.77%E -0.602%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 13:20
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.15%E -5.17%K -32.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.77%E -0.602%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 04:29
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.15%E -5.17%K -32.38%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -3.83%E -0.841%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 04:30
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.79%E -3.10%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.79%E -3.10%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:35
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:40
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.15%E -5.17%K -32.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 10:45
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.94%E -5.88%K -38.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.88%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 13:10
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.00%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:16
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.48%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.79%E -3.10%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.23%E -2.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 13:05
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.79%E -3.10%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.23%E -2.67%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.34%E -3.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 13:08
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.36%E -4.47%K -26.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.34%E -3.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -1.42%E -1.14%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -14.40%E -3.55%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-05 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-05 15:05
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-10-05 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-10-05 15:10