Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.33
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 74.28%; West Indies (Visit): 25.72%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.994%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.20%E -0.904%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.42%E -5.05%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 13:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.43%E -2.64%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.28%E -0.600%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.17%E -3.24%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.994%E -0.258%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 12:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -1.51%E -0.394%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.28%E -0.600%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.66%E -4.46%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.28%E -0.600%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.28%E -0.600%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.28%E -0.600%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 13:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.40%E -5.08%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.14%E -5.72%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -0.994%E -0.258%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.35%EV -7.14%E -5.72%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65%EV -1.77%E -0.462%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.14%E -5.72%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.14%E -5.72%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.99%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 13:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 0.1% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 13:20 |