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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hong Kong v Kuwait

开赛时间： 2026-03-01 05:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hong Kong (主队)

预测 55.83%1.79公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -3.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
54.23%56.05%56.00%59.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.29%59.17%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kuwait (客队)

预测 44.17%2.26公平赔率
EV +4.25%
优势 +1.80%
Kelly +3.12%
增长率 +0.133%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
40.70%43.95%44.00%45.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.102.3650.00%46.94%47.62%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hong Kong (主队)：55.83%；Kuwait (客队)：44.17%。 对于“Kuwait (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.36，对应+4.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +4.25%E +1.80%K +3.12%G +0.133%4.1%2026-03-01 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.05%E -0.469%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 04:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 04:49
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -4.14%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 04:45
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 04:45
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 10:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 03:29
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 00:59
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.35%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 04:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 19:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 04:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.65%E -5.83%K -11.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 10:50
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.65%E -5.83%K -11.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 10:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-03-01 05:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-03-01 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%5.2%2026-03-01 05:00