Language:English
France v Australia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
France (Local)
Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%39.95%39.95%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.3644.44%43.22%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Australia (Visit)
Prediction 60.05%1.67fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.05%60.05%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.591.601.6263.69%62.81%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 13:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.72%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.72%E -3.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 13:24 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.92%E -2.45%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 13:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.11%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.72%E -1.68%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-07-28 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 13:24 |