The School of OddsFinland v Portugal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Finland (Local)
Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV +0.784%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.234%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%23.17%23.17%23.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.084.004.3526%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Portugal (Visit)
Prediction 76.83%1.30fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -15.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.17%76.83%76.83%78.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2583%82%82%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.784%E +0.180%K +0.234%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.80%E -6.50%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 11:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.69%E -0.641%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 11:14 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 11:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 11:14 |
| Bet Victor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.64%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.