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England v Sri Lanka

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England (主队)

预测 76.36%1.31公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -1.16%
Kelly -5.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.29

博彩公司预测分布
74.30%76.52%76.02%80.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.221.221.2984.75%81.78%81.97%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sri Lanka (客队)

预测 23.64%4.23公平赔率
EV +15.86%
优势 +3.24%
Kelly +4.07%
增长率 +0.645%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.41%23.48%23.98%25.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.244.254.9027.03%23.57%23.53%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：76.36%；Sri Lanka (客队)：23.64%。 对于“Sri Lanka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.23。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.90，对应+15.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +15.86%E +3.24%K +4.07%G +0.645%5.2%2026-09-15 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +11.13%E +2.37%K +3.01%G +0.335%6.0%2026-09-15 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.14%E -7.68%K -48.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +8.76%E +1.91%K +2.43%G +0.213%5.8%2026-09-15 17:05
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.14%E -7.68%K -48.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +8.76%E +1.91%K +2.43%G +0.213%5.8%2026-09-15 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -55.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +8.76%E +1.91%K +2.43%G +0.213%6.5%2026-09-15 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +6.40%E +1.42%K +1.83%G +0.117%4.2%2026-09-15 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.37%E -6.98%K -41.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.38%E +0.550%K +0.715%G +0.017%6.4%2026-09-15 17:15
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.08%E -4.95%K -26.45%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +0.725%E +0.170%K +0.222%G +0.002%4.8%2026-09-15 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.488%E +0.115%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.5%2026-09-15 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.08%E -4.95%K -26.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.24%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 17:20
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.42%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.08%E -4.95%K -26.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.79%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.50%E -1.16%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -10.15%E -2.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.26%E -1.77%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.79%E -3.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.56%E -3.64%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.26%E -1.77%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 17:20
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.26%E -1.77%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 17:20
Neds🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.03%E -2.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.03%E -2.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.03%E -2.38%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 17:20
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.85%E -5.61%K -31.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.52%E -3.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 17:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-15 17:20
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-15 17:15