Language:English
England v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 48.54%2.06fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.922%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%48.19%48.52%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.962.1053.19%50.77%50.89%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.81%51.48%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.77%54.79%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 48.54%; India (Visit): 51.46%. For England (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.94%E +0.922%K +1.76%G +0.034% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.92%E -5.04%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.92%E -1.46%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.89%E -1.96%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.38%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.26%E -1.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.38%E -2.22%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.89%E -4.41%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.31%E -2.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.86%E -2.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.31%E -2.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.83%E -3.19%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.35%E -2.74%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.34%E -3.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.83%E -3.01%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.34%E -3.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.32%E -3.27%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.32%E -3.27%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.29%E -3.82%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.71%E -0.897%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.29%E -3.82%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-07 16:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.74%E -4.65%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.26%E -1.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-07-07 16:25 |
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