The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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England v India

Kickoff: 2026-07-01 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

England (Local)

Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.47%54.38%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.761.8059.88%57.13%56.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV +0.342%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.285%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.53%45.62%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.052.2050.00%48.35%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 54.39%; India (Visit): 45.61%. For India (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.342%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.342%E +0.155%K +0.285%G +0.001%5.3%2026-07-01 16:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.94%E -0.902%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.94%E -0.902%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 16:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.54%E -4.43%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.94%E -0.902%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.31%E -1.56%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.76%E -1.78%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.91%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.22%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.13%E -2.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 16:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 16:19
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-01 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.96%E -3.41%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.82%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.87%E -3.90%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:09
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.10%E -1.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-07-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 16:20
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 16:20