The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cayman Islands v Bermuda

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cayman Islands (Local)

Prediction 31.94%3.13fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%31.50%31.94%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.903.2535.71%33.71%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bermuda (Visit)

Prediction 68.06%1.47fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -11.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.50%68.06%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4075.19%72.52%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cayman Islands (Local): 31.94%; Bermuda (Visit): 68.06%. For Cayman Islands (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.79%E +1.17%K +1.69%G +0.064%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 11:50
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV +3.47%E +1.07%K +1.55%G +0.054%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-27 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -4.51%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 22:10
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 04:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 22:15
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 02:54
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%6.4%2026-09-27 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%6.4%2026-09-27 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%6.4%2026-09-27 18:20