The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cayman Islands v Bahamas

2026-09-24 15:00 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cayman Islands (Local)

Prediction 80.70%1.24fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -15.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%80.70%80.70%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.181.2086.96%85.16%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bahamas (Visit)

Prediction 19.30%5.18fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%19.30%19.30%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.784.755.0022.22%20.93%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cayman Islands (Local): 80.70%; Bahamas (Visit): 19.30%. For Cayman Islands (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.20, with an expected value of -3.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.16%E -2.63%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.15%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 00:48
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.77%E -4.04%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.33%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.77%E -4.04%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-23 23:09
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.77%E -4.04%K -26.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-23 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.58%E -4.77%K -32.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.50%E -0.701%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.39%E -5.51%K -39.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.50%E -0.701%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.19%E -6.26%K -47.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.50%E -0.701%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-23 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 61.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 38.65%29.4%2026-09-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 61.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 38.65%29.4%2026-09-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 61.35%2.00I 50.00%NM 38.65%29.4%2026-09-23 23:30