The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cayman Islands v Bahamas

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cayman Islands (Local)

Prediction 87.41%1.14fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -4.33%
Kelly -52.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%87.41%87.41%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.081.081.0993.46%92.74%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bahamas (Visit)

Prediction 12.59%7.94fair odd
EV +0.699%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%12.59%12.59%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.587.508.0014.29%13.19%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cayman Islands (Local): 87.41%; Bahamas (Visit): 12.59%. For Bahamas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.699%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +0.699%E +0.087%K +0.100%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-24 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.47%E -6.05%K -92.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +0.699%E +0.087%K +0.100%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-24 19:25
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.59%E -5.18%K -69.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.59%E -0.746%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.59%E -5.18%K -69.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.59%E -0.746%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 19:00
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.59%E -5.18%K -69.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.59%E -0.746%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 19:00
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.72%E -4.33%K -52.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.89%E -1.70%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%4.2%2026-09-24 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%4.2%2026-09-24 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%5.1%2026-09-24 19:25