Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botswana v Uganda

2026-09-16 07:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botswana (Local)

Prediction 8.23%12.15fair odd
EV +18.49%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.255%

assuming max odds 14.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.68%8.23%8.23%9.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.9012.2514.4010.53%8.40%8.16%6.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Uganda (Visit)

Prediction 91.77%1.09fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -4.38%
Kelly -113.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.22%91.77%91.77%93.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0498.04%97.24%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botswana (Local): 8.23%; Uganda (Visit): 91.77%. For Botswana (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.15. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 14.40, producing a positive expected value of +18.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯14.40I 6.94%NM 6.68%EV +18.49%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.255%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.32%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 16:25
Neds🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.97%E +0.536%K +0.581%G +0.040%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.39%E -6.27%K -319.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.97%E +0.536%K +0.581%G +0.040%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.39%E -6.27%K -319.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 16:20
SportsBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -5.37%E -0.467%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 16:20
Paddy Power🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.72%E -1.77%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.56%E -4.38%K -113.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 16:25
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -21.83%E -2.30%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.48%E -5.32%K -182.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%4.8%2026-09-15 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%4.8%2026-09-15 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%4.8%2026-09-15 18:35