The School of Odds
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Botswana v Kenya

2026-09-17 11:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botswana (Local)

Prediction 7.74%12.92fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 12.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.74%7.74%7.74%10.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.7811.0012.4011.11%9.28%9.09%8.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kenya (Visit)

Prediction 92.26%1.08fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -62.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.55%92.26%92.26%92.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.041.0597.09%96.34%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botswana (Local): 7.74%; Kenya (Visit): 92.26%. For Kenya (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.05, with an expected value of -3.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯12.40I 8.06%NM 7.74%EV -4.05%E -0.326%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.26%EV -4.05%E -3.89%K -101.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.88%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.97%E -4.83%K -165.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 11:14
Neds🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -14.88%E -1.35%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.97%E -4.83%K -165.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 11:20
SportsBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -18.75%E -1.79%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.05%E -3.89%K -101.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 11:14
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -30.36%E -3.37%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.12%E -2.98%K -62.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%10.0%2026-09-16 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%10.0%2026-09-16 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%10.0%2026-09-16 13:36