Language:English
Bangladesh v Australia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV +11.41%
Edge +3.73%
Kelly +5.54%
Growth +0.632%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.24%35.58%36.59%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.603.0640.00%38.10%38.46%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Australia (Visit)
Prediction 63.59%1.57fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.42%63.41%68.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5372.46%67.11%66.89%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 36.41%; Australia (Visit): 63.59%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV +11.41%E +3.73%K +5.54%G +0.632% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -11.61%E -8.35%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +9.23%E +3.08%K +4.61%G +0.426% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -12.25%E -8.87%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +4.86%E +1.69%K +2.58%G +0.126% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -10.34%E -7.33%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +1.95%E +0.695%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.61%E -1.76%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.34%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.89%E -3.98%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.98%E -2.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.43%E -2.50%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.25%E -3.52%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.16%E -2.81%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.52%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.71%E -1.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.34%E -2.20%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.98%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.61%E -3.08%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 07:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 07:50 |