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Bangladesh v Australia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 33.22%3.01fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.643%
Kelly +0.953%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.32%33.44%33.22%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.753.0740.00%35.83%36.36%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Australia (Visit)
Prediction 66.78%1.50fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.995%
Kelly +2.91%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%66.56%66.78%68.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.5271.43%69.80%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 33.22%; Australia (Visit): 66.78%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -16.96%E -6.78%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +1.51%E +0.995%K +2.91%G +0.044% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.30%E -6.00%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.176%E +0.117%K +0.352%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.33%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.16%E -2.18%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.83%E -2.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.50%E -3.15%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.32%E -3.82%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.50%E -3.15%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -5.00%E -1.75%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.33%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.00%E -2.50%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.33%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.83%E -4.14%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.97%E +0.643%K +0.953%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.01%E -0.682%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.67%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.34%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.34%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.66%E -3.15%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.50%E -4.64%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 07:50 |