Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bahamas v Bermuda

2026-09-22 18:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bahamas (Local)

Prediction 12.14%8.23fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 8.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.30%15.31%12.14%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.506.907.508.4028.57%14.49%13.33%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bermuda (Visit)

Prediction 87.86%1.14fair odd
EV +12.46%
Edge +9.73%
Kelly +44.49%
Growth +5.54%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%84.69%87.86%88.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.121.081.2894.34%89.37%92.59%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bahamas (Local): 12.14%; Bermuda (Visit): 87.86%. For Bermuda (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.14. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.28, producing a positive expected value of +12.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -54.95%E -14.81%K -20.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV +12.46%E +9.73%K +44.49%G +5.54%5.1%2026-09-22 10:09
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -57.50%E -16.43%K -23.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV +12.46%E +9.73%K +44.49%G +5.54%6.7%2026-09-22 10:19
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.12%E -4.74%K -63.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 10:04
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.12%E -4.74%K -63.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.12%E -4.74%K -63.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 10:04
FanDuel🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +2.01%E +0.239%K +0.271%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.99%E -5.60%K -85.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 10:03
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.99%E -5.60%K -85.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 10:02
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.99%E -5.60%K -85.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 10:03
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.87%E -6.48%K -114.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-22 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-09-22 10:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%2.8%2026-09-22 10:14
Arbitrage (14 combinations) +11.07%FanDuel 8.40 (13.2%) / Pinnacle 1.28 (86.8%)Show all 14 combinations
Bahamas (Local)Bermuda (Visit)Margin
FanDuel🎯 8.40 (13.2%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (86.8%)+11.07%
FanDuel🎯 8.40 (13.2%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (86.8%)+11.07%
SportsBet🎯 8.00 (13.8%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
SportsBet🎯 8.00 (13.8%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
Paddy Power🎯 8.00 (13.8%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
Paddy Power🎯 8.00 (13.8%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
BoyleSports🎯 8.00 (13.8%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
BoyleSports🎯 8.00 (13.8%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (86.2%)+10.34%
Betway🎯 7.50 (14.6%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%
Betway🎯 7.50 (14.6%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%
Neds🎯 7.50 (14.6%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%
Neds🎯 7.50 (14.6%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 7.50 (14.6%)Pinnacle🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 7.50 (14.6%)GTbets🎯 1.28 (85.4%)+9.34%