The School of Odds

Australia v Turkey

2026-07-25 11:30 UTC — International Twenty20

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Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Australia (Local)

Prediction 89.96%1.11fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -4.38%
Kelly -77.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.01%89.96%89.96%90.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.051.051.051.0695%95%95%94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Turkey (Visit)

Prediction 10.04%9.96fair odd
EV +6.45%
Edge +0.609%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 10.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%10.04%10.04%10.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.509.279.0010.6012%11%11%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -4.65%E -4.38%K -77.42%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +6.45%E +0.609%K +0.672%G +0.043%3.8%2026-07-24 13:40
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.90%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.59%E -0.483%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 13:39
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.65%E -4.38%K -77.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.61%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 13:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.61%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 13:40
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.61%E -1.07%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 13:39
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.54%E -5.28%K -110.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.64%E -1.72%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%9.0%2026-07-24 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%9.0%2026-07-24 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 66.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 33.55%46.1%2026-07-24 18:15