The School of Odds

Australia v Israel

2026-07-28 05:30 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Australia (Local)

Prediction 93.49%1.07fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -123.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.44%93.49%93.49%93.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.021.0398.04%97.56%97.56%97.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Israel (Visit)

Prediction 6.51%15.37fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.43%6.51%6.51%8.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.3013.0015.009.09%7.52%7.69%6.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.70%E -3.59%K -123.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -2.40%E -0.160%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 20:04
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.49%EV -3.70%E -3.59%K -123.39%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.51%EV -3.70%E -0.250%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 14:50
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.70%E -3.59%K -123.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -28.43%E -2.58%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:49
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -231.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.41%E -1.19%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -231.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.41%E -1.19%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 14:50
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.64%E -4.55%K -231.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.41%E -1.19%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-07-27 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%3.8%2026-07-27 19:40