Language:English
Afghanistan v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Afghanistan (Local)
Prediction 13.72%7.29fair odd
EV +9.74%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.136%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.58%14.19%14.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.177.508.0016.00%13.95%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 86.28%1.16fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -38.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.27%86.42%85.81%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.091.091.1192.59%91.85%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Afghanistan (Local): 13.72%; India (Visit): 86.28%. For Afghanistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.74%E +1.22%K +1.39%G +0.136% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV +8.37%E +1.06%K +1.21%G +0.102% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.98%E -0.568%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.09%E -4.63%K -50.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.98%E -0.568%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.98%E -0.568%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.95%E -5.46%K -66.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.98%E -0.568%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.98%E -0.568%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.41%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.23%E -3.81%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.23%E -3.81%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.09%E -4.63%K -50.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -14.26%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -6.82%E -6.31%K -85.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |